2023 Golden Globes Predictions (Film) Julia Roberts, Harry Styles and Dont Worry Dar

As the Hollywood Foreign Press Association continues to march toward a possible comeback, whether the talent and studios participate or not, the mere mention of a Golden Globe nomination will be useful in this wide-open Oscar season.

As the early season precursors begin to trickle in like the Gothams and the Hollywood Music in Media nominations, the more mainstream titles won’t get its first official look until the National Board of Review, New York Film Critics and Los Angeles Critics Associations weigh in. Those may provide some clues to what the now over 200 member organization may choose.

We should expect love for some of the usual suspects such as Steven Spielberg’s “The Fabelmans” (Universal Pictures) and Sarah Polley’s “Women Talking” on the drama side while Martin McDonagh’s “The Banshees of Inisherin” and The Daniels’ “Everything Everywhere All at Once” should properly occupy the comedy side of the house.

If there’s one thing the Globes love, it’s big names, no matter what the reviews. To not consider that either of Harry Styles’ performances in Olivia Wilde’s “Don’t Worry Darling” and Michael Grandage’s “My Policeman” can receive attention is a failure to look through its history. This is the same group that went all-in on Aaron Taylor-Johnson in “Nocturnal Animals” (2016), and even gave unsolicited shocking mentions to Renée Zellweger in “Bridget Jones: The Edge of Reason” (2004) and double noms for Johnny Depp for “Alice in Wonderland” and “The Tourist” (2010), both trashed by journalists.

While the box office earnings for “Ticket to Paradise” were impressive enough, the George Clooney and Julia Roberts vehicle was divided among critics. I still wouldn’t count either of the stars out of the discussion in their respective comedy races.

And don’t count out the biggest names in music. Aside from Styles, who pens the original song from “Don’t Worry Darling,” it’ll be hard to resist Rihanna’s “Lift Me Up” from “Black Panther: Wakanda Forever,” Taylor Swift’s “Carolina” from “Where the Crawdads Sing” and Lady Gaga’s “Hold My Hand” from “Top Gun: Maverick.”

The group could also embrace a film like Variance Film’s “RRR,” despite not being the official submission for India. The group has chosen alternatives in the past such as “Portrait of a Lady on Fire” (2019) and “Blue is the Warmest Colour” (2013), which were not France’s official submissions during their respective years. Friendly reminder that the film is also eligible for best picture (comedy or musical) after the group amended its rules in 2021 after not allowing “Minari” (2020) and “The Farewell” (2019) to compete in the top races.

Since 1990, there have been 404 Golden Globe statuettes handed out in the film categories. Two hundred nine of them went on to win the Oscar (noteworthy: the HFPA divides its top categories between two genres for drama and comedy/musical). Will that matter this season as they seek redemption, especially with prominent figures in the awards discussion who have spoken out against them before such as Tom Cruise, Viola Davis and Brendan Fraser? We’ll see how it plays out.

The first set of predictions for the film categories are below. The television projections will follow at a later date. The Golden Globes are scheduled to air on Tuesday, Jan. 10, at 8 p.m. ET/ 5 p.m. PT.

LAST UPDATED: Nov. 4, 2022

2023 Academy Awards Predictions

BEST PICTURE | DIRECTOR | ACTOR | ACTRESS | SUPPORTING ACTOR | SUPPORTING ACTRESS | ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY | ADAPTED SCREENPLAY | ANIMATED FEATURE | PRODUCTION DESIGN | CINEMATOGRAPHY | COSTUME DESIGN | FILM EDITING | MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING | SOUND | VISUAL EFFECTS | ORIGINAL SCORE | ORIGINAL SONG | DOCUMENTARY FEATURE | INTERNATIONAL FEATURE |

• Best Picture (Drama)

  

  And The Predicted Nominees Are:

• “The Fabelmans” (Universal Pictures)
• “Women Talking” (MGM/United Artists Releasing)
• “Tár” (Focus Features)
• “Top Gun: Maverick” (Paramount Pictures)
• “Elvis” (Warner Bros.)

Also in contention: “Black Panther: Wakanda Forever” (Marvel Studios); “Emancipation” (Apple Original Films); “Living” (Sony Pictures Classics); “She Said” (Universal Pictures); “The Woman King” (Sony Pictures)

Last five winners: “The Power of the Dog” (Netflix); “Nomadland” (Searchlight Pictures); “1917” (Universal Pictures); “Bohemian Rhapsody” (Paramount Pictures); “Three Billboards outside Ebbing, Missouri” (Searchlight Pictures)

• Best Picture (Comedy or Musical)

  

  And The Predicted Nominees Are:

• “The Banshees of Inisherin” (Searchlight Pictures)
• “Everything Everywhere All at Once” (A24)
• “Triangle of Sadness” (Neon)
• “Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery” (Netflix)
• “Babylon” (Paramount Pictures)

Also in contention: “Bardo (or False Chronicle of a Handful of Truths)” (Netflix); “Bros” (Universal Pictures); “Cha Cha Real Smooth” (Apple Original Films); “Hustle” (Netflix); “The Menu” (Searchlight Pictures); “RRR” (Variance Films)

Last five winners: “West Side Story” (20th Century Studios); “Borat Subsequent Moviefilm: Delivery of Prodigious Bribe to American Regime for Make Benefit Once Glorious Nation of Kazakhstan” (Amazon Studios); “Once Upon a Time in…Hollywood” (Sony Pictures); “Green Book” (Universal Pictures); “Lady Bird” (A24)

• Best Actor (Drama)

  

  And The Predicted Nominees Are:

• Brendan Fraser — “The Whale” (A24)
• Austin Butler — “Elvis” (Warner Bros.)
• Hugh Jackman — “The Son” (Sony Pictures Classics)
• Bill Nighy — “Living” (Sony Pictures Classics)
• Will Smith — “Emancipation” (Apple Original Films)

Also in contention: Timothée Chalamet, “Bones and All” (MGM/United Artists Releasing); Tom Cruise, “Top Gun: Maverick” (Paramount Pictures); Jonathan Majors, “Devotion” (Sony Pictures); Paul Mescal, “Aftersun” (A24); Jeremy Pope, “The Inspection” (A24);

Last five winners: Will Smith, “King Richard” (Warner Bros.); Chadwick Boseman, “Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom” (Netflix); Joaquin Phoenix, “Joker” (Warner Bros.); Rami Malek, “Bohemian Rhapsody” (Paramount Pictures); Gary Oldman, “Darkest Hour” (Focus Features)

• Best Actor (Comedy or Musical)

  

  And The Predicted Nominees Are:

• Colin Farrell — “The Banshees of Inisherin” (Searchlight Pictures)
• Daniel Craig — “Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery” (Netflix)
• Adam Sandler — “Hustle” (Netflix)
• George Clooney — “Ticket to Paradise” (Universal Pictures)
• Daniel Radcliffe — “Weird: The Al Yankovic Story” (The Roku Channel)

Also in contention: Diego Calva, “Babylon” (Paramount Pictures); Adam Driver, “White Noise” (Netflix); Daniel Giménez Cacho, “Bardo” (Netflix); Tom Hanks, “A Man Called Otto” (Sony Pictures); Nicholas Hoult, “The Menu” (Searchlight Pictures)

Last five winners: Andrew Garfield, “Tick, Tick … Boom!” (Netflix); Sacha Baron Cohen, “Borat Subsequent Moviefilm” (Amazon Studios); Taron Egerton, “Rocketman” (Paramount Pictures); Christian Bale, “Vice” (Annapurna Pictures); James Franco, “The Disaster Artist” (A24)

• Best Actress (Drama)

  

  And The Predicted Nominees Are:

• Cate Blanchett — “Tár” (Focus Features)
• Michelle Williams — “The Fabelmans” (Universal Pictures)
• Danielle Deadwyler — “Till” (Orion/United Artists Releasing)
• Viola Davis — “The Woman King” (Sony Pictures)
• Ana de Armas — “Blonde” (Netflix)

Also in contention: Jessica Chastain, “The Good Nurse” (Netflix); Olivia Colman, “Empire of Light” (Searchlight Pictures); Jennifer Lawrence, “Causeway” (A24/Apple Original Films); Rooney Mara, “Women Talking” (MGM/United Artists Releasing); Florence Pugh, “Don’t Worry Darling” (Warner Bros.)

Last five winners: Nicole Kidman, “Being the Ricardos” (Amazon Studios); Andra Day, “The United States vs. Billie Holiday” (Searchlight Pictures); Renée Zellweger, “Judy” (LD Entertainment and Roadside Attractions); Glenn Close, “The Wife” (Sony Pictures Classics); Frances McDormand, “Three Billboards outside Ebbing, Missouri” (Searchlight Pictures)

• Best Actress (Comedy or Musical)

  

  And The Predicted Nominees Are:

• Michelle Yeoh — “Everything Everywhere All at Once” (A24)
• Emma Thompson — “Good Luck to You, Leo Grande” (Searchlight Pictures)
• Margot Robbie — “Babylon” (Paramount Pictures)
• Julia Roberts — “Ticket to Paradise” (Universal Pictures)
• Keke Palmer — “Nope” (Universal Pictures)

Also in contention: Charibi Dean, “Triangle of Sadness” (Neon); Regina Hall, “Honk for Jesus, Save Your Soul.” (Universal Pictures); Bella Ramsey, “Catherine Called Birdy” (Amazon Studios); Anya Taylor-Joy, “The Menu” (Searchlight Pictures);

Last five winners: Rachel Zegler, “West Side Story” (20th Century Studios); Rosamund Pike, “I Care A Lot” (Netflix); Awkwafina, “The Farewell” (A24); Olivia Colman, “The Favourite” (Searchlight Pictures); Saoirse Ronan, “Lady Bird” (A24)

• Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture

  

  And The Predicted Nominees Are:

• Ke Huy Quan — “Everything Everywhere All at Once” (A24)
• Brendan Gleeson — “The Banshees of Inisherin” (Searchlight Pictures)
• Barry Keoghan — “The Banshees of Inisherin” (Searchlight Pictures)
• Eddie Redmayne — “The Good Nurse” (Netflix)
• Harry Styles — “My Policeman” (Amazon Studios)

Also in contention: Paul Dano, “The Fabelmans” (Universal Pictures); Brian Tyree Henry, “Causeway” (A24/Apple Original Films); Jeremy Strong, “Armageddon Time” (Focus Features); Harry Styles, “Don’t Worry Darling” (Warner Bros.); Ben Whishaw, “Women Talking” (MGM/United Artists Releasing)

Last five winners: Kodi Smit-McPhee, “The Power of the Dog” (Netflix); Daniel Kaluuya, “Judas and the Black Messiah” (Warner Bros.); Brad Pitt, “Once Upon a Time in…Hollywood” (Sony Pictures); Mahershala Ali, “Green Book” (Universal Pictures); Sam Rockwell, “Three Billboards outside Ebbing, Missouri” (Searchlight Pictures)

• Best Supporting Actress in a Motion Picture

  

  And The Predicted Nominees Are:

• Jamie Lee Curtis — “Everything Everywhere All at Once” (A24)
• Jessie Buckley — “Women Talking” (MGM/United Artists Releasing)
• Angela Bassett — “Black Panther: Wakanda Forever” (Marvel Studios)
• Thuso Mbedu — “The Woman King” (Sony Pictures)
• Kerry Condon — “The Banshees of Inisherin” (Searchlight Pictures)

Also in contention: Hong Chau, “The Whale” (A24) Dolly De Leon, “Triangle of Sadness” (Neon); Claire Foy, “Women Talking” (MGM/United Artists Releasing); Nina Hoss, “Tár” (Focus Features); Janelle Monáe, “Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery” (Netflix)

Last five winners: Ariana DeBose, “West Side Story” (20th Century Studios); Jodie Foster, “The Mauritanian” (STX Films); Laura Dern, “Marriage Story” (Netflix); Regina King, “If Beale Street Could Talk” (Annapurna Pictures); Allison Janney, “I, Tonya” (Neon)

• Best Director - Motion Picture

  

  And The Predicted Nominees Are:

• Steven Spielberg — “The Fabelmans” (Universal Pictures)
• Sarah Polley — “Women Talking” (MGM/United Artists Releasing)
• Martin McDonagh — “The Banshees of Inisherin” (Searchlight Pictures)
• Baz Luhrmann — “Elvis” (Warner Bros.)
• Gina Prince-Bythewood — “The Woman King” (Sony Pictures)

Also in contention: Todd Field, “Tár” (Focus Features); Alejandro G. Iñárritu, “Bardo (or False Chronicle of a Handful of Truths)” (Netflix); Rian Johnson, “Glass Onion: A Knives Out Story” (Netflix); Daniel Kwan, Daniel Scheinert, “Everything Everywhere All at Once” (A24); Ruben Östlund, “Triangle of Sadness” (Neon);

Last five winners: Jane Campion, “The Power of the Dog” (Netflix); Chloé Zhao, “Nomadland” (Searchlight Pictures); Sam Mendes, “1917” (Universal Pictures); Alfonso Cuarón, “Roma” (Netflix); Guillermo del Toro, “The Shape of Water” (Searchlight Pictures)

• Best Screenplay - Motion Picture

  

  And The Predicted Nominees Are:

• “Everything Everywhere All at Once” (A24) — Daniel Kwan, Daniel Scheinert
• “The Banshees of Inisherin” (Searchlight Pictures) — Martin McDonagh
• “Women Talking” (MGM/United Artists Releasing) — Sarah Polley
• “Tár” (Focus Features) — Todd Field
• “Glass Onion: A Knives Out Story” (Netflix) — Rian Johnson

Also in contention: “Bones and All” (MGM/United Artists Releasing); “Elvis” (Warner Bros.); “The Fabelmans” (Universal Pictures); “She Said” (Universal Pictures); “Triangle of Sadness” (Neon)

Last five winners: “Belfast” (Focus Features); “The Trial of the Chicago 7” (Netflix); “Once Upon a Time in…Hollywood” (Sony Pictures); “Green Book” (Universal Pictures); “Three Billboards outside Ebbing, Missouri” (Searchlight Pictures)

• Best Original Score

  

  And The Predicted Nominees Are:

• “The Fabelmans” (Universal Pictures) — John Williams
• “Women Talking” (MGM/United Artists Releasing) — Hildur Guðnadóttir
• “Babylon” (Paramount Pictures) — Justin Hurwitz
• “Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio” (Netflix) — Alexandre Desplat
• “White Noise” (Netflix) — Danny Elfman

Also in contention: “The Batman” (Warner Bros.) – Michael Giacchino; “Black Panther: Wakanda Forever” (Warner Bros.) – Ludwig Göransson; “Emancipation” (Apple Original Films) – Marcelo Zarvos; “Living” (Sony Pictures Classics) – Emilie Levienaise-Farrouch; “Nope” (Universal Pictures) – Michael Abels

Last five winners: “Dune” (Warner Bros.) – Hans Zimmer; “Soul” (Pixar) – Jon Batiste, Trent Reznor, Atticus Ross; “Joker” (Warner Bros.) – Hildur Guðnadóttir; “First Man” (Universal Pictures) — Justin Hurwitz; “The Shape of Water” (Searchlight Pictures) – Alexandre Desplat

• Best Original Song

  

  And The Predicted Nominees Are:

• “Black Panther: Wakanda Forever” (Marvel Studios) — “Lift me up” by Tems, Ludwig Göransson, Rihanna and Ryan Coogler
• “Top Gun: Maverick” (Paramount Pictures) — “Hold My Hand” by Lady Gaga and Bloodpop
• “White Noise” (Netflix) — “New Body Rhumba” by LCD Soundsystem
• “Devotion” (Sony Pictures) — “Not Alone” by Joe Jonas, Ryan Tedder, HARV and Khalid
• “Where the Crawdads Sing” (Sony Pictures) — “Carolina” by Taylor Swift

Also in contention: “Bros” (Universal Pictures) — “Love is Not Love” by Marc Shaiman and Billy Eichner; “Everything Everywhere All at Once” (A24) — “This is a Life” by David Byrne, Ryan Lott and Mitski; “Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio” (Netflix) — “Ciao Papa” by Roeben Katz and Guillermo del Toro; “RRR” (Variance Films) — “Naatu Naatu” by Kala Bhairava, M. M. Keeravani, Rahul Sipligunj; “Turning Red” (Pixar) — “Nobody Like U” by Billie Eilish and Finneas

Last five winners: “No Time to Die” from “No Time to Die” (MGM/United Artists Releasing); “Io si (Seen)” from “The Life Ahead” (Netflix); “(I’m Gonna) Love Me Again” from “Rocketman” (Paramount Pictures); “Shallow” from “A Star is Born” (Warner Bros.); “This is Me” from “The Greatest Showman” (20th Century Studios)

• Best Animated Feature

  

  And The Predicted Nominees Are:

• “Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio” (Netflix)
• “Turning Red” (Pixar)
• “Strange World” (Walt Disney Pictures)
• “Wendell and Wild” (Netflix)
• “Marcel the Shell with Shoes On” (A24)

Also in contention: “The Bob’s Burgers Movie” (20th Century Studios); “Lightyear” (Pixar); “Minions: The Rise of Gru” (Universal Pictures/Illumination); “Puss in Boots: The Last Wish” (DreamWorks Animation); “The Sea Beast” (Netflix)

Last five winners: “Encanto” (Walt Disney Pictures); “Soul” (Pixar); “Missing Link” (Laika); “Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse” (Sony Pictures Animation); “Coco” (Pixar)

• Best Non-English Language Film

  

  And The Predicted Nominees Are:

• “RRR” (India)
• “All Quiet on the Western Front” (Germany)
• “Bardo (or False Chronicle of a Handful of Truths)” (Mexico)
• “Decision to Leave” (South Korea)
• “Joyland” (Pakistan)

Also in contention: “Argentina, 1985” (Argentina); “Close” (Belgium); “Corsage” (Austria); Holy Spider” (Denmark); “Saint Omer” (France)

Last five winners: “Drive My Car” (Japan); “Minari” (United States); “Parasite” (South Korea); “Roma” (Mexico); “In the Fade” (Germany)

Read More About:

• Awards Circuit,
• Film Predictions,
• Golden Globes,
• Harry Styles

More from Variety

• 

  Alex Wolff Opens Up About Channeling Leonard Cohen, Going Aggro for Frat Drama ‘The Line’ and Touring With BFF Billie Eilish
• 

  Annapurna-Remedy Deal Is Smart Solution to Gaming’s Funding Woes
• 

  Grammy Nominations Predictions: Beyoncé, Billie Eilish, Chappell Roan and Taylor Swift Will Vie in Top Categories
• 

  Billie Eilish and Finneas Endorse Kamala Harris for President Because ‘We Can’t Let Extremists Control Our Lives, Our Freedoms and Our Future’
• 

  New Live Music Data Suggests Cautious Optimism

Most Popular

• Inside the 'Joker: Folie à Deux' Debacle: Todd Phillips ‘Wanted Nothing to Do’ With DC on the $200 Million Misfire

  

• ‘Kaos’ Canceled After One Season at Netflix

  

• ‘Menendez Brothers’ Netflix Doc Reveals Erik’s Drawings of His Abuse and Lyle Saying ‘I Would Much Rather Lose the Murder Trial Than Talk About Our…

  

• Kathy Bates Won an Oscar and Her Mom Told Her: ‘You Didn't Discover the Cure for Cancer,’ So ‘I Don't Know What All the Excitement Is About…

  

• Saoirse Ronan Says Losing Luna Lovegood Role in ‘Harry Potter’ Has ‘Stayed With Me Over the Years’: ‘I Was Too Young’ and ‘Knew I Wasn't Going to Get…

  

• ‘Joker 2’ Director Says Arthur Fleck Was Never Joker: ‘He's an Unwitting Icon’ and Joker Is ‘This Idea That Gotham People Put on Him…

  

• ‘Joker 2’ Axed Scene of Lady Gaga’s Lee Kissing a Woman at the Courthouse Because ‘It Had Dialogue in It’ and ‘Got in the Way’ of a Music…

  

• Andrew Garfield Says Sex Scene With Florence Pugh in ‘We Live in Time’ Went a ‘Little Bit Further’ Than Intended: ‘We Never Heard Cut…

  

• ‘Skyfall’ Director Sam Mendes Says James Bond Studio Prefers Filmmakers ‘Who Are More Controllable’: ‘I Would Doubt’ I’d…

  

• Sydney Sweeney and Amanda Seyfried to Star in ‘The Housemaid’ Adaptation From Director Paul Feig, Lionsgate

  

Must Read

• Film

  COVER | Sebastian Stan Tells All: Becoming Donald Trump and Starring in 2024’s Most Controversial Movie

  By Andrew Wallenstein 3 weeks

• TV

  Menendez Family Slams Netflix’s ‘Monsters’ as ‘Grotesque’ and ‘Riddled With Mistruths’: ‘The Character Assassination of Erik and Lyke Is Repulsive…

  
• TV

  ‘Yellowstone’ Season 5 Part 2 to Air on CBS After Paramount Network Debut

  
• TV

  50 Cent Sets Diddy Abuse Allegations Docuseries at Netflix: ‘It’s a Complex Narrative Spanning Decades’ (EXCLUSIVE)

  
• Shopping

  ‘Deadpool & Wolverine’ Sets Digital and Blu-ray/DVD Release Dates

  

Sign Up for Variety Newsletters

Variety Confidential

A Variety and iHeartRadio Podcast

ncG1vNJzZmiukae2psDYZ5qopV%2BhtrTA0mhpaWpjYrSwuMOepWafnKSvpr%2BMqamenJmYwaq7zaxkm52jqXqxtcKtrKudXZm%2FornAaA%3D%3D